April 13, 2036

Saturday, February 24, 2007
There"s a 1 in 45,000 chance that you should just stay home from work that day.

That"s the day, it has been estimated, that the asteroid Apophis has a one in forty-five thousand chance of hitting the earth, with a power 65,000 times greater than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima.

Apophis, named after an Egyptian demon, the deification of darkness and chaos, will first pass near earth on Friday, April 13, 2029. It will pass within 30,000 km (18,600 mi) of the Earth, very briefly appearing as bright as 3rd magnitude star. To give you a sense of how close this is, we have geosynchronous communication satellites at 35,786 km. This asteroid will come closer to earth than those satellites.

We should get a better sense at that time if we are in sever danger, or just a close call.

1 in 45,000. Hmm. Some Internet numbers please...

There"s a 1 in 13,983,816 million chance of winning the lotto 649 here in Canada, still millions of people play it.
Dying from flesh-eating bacteria disease is 1 in 1 million
Being struck by lightening is 1 in 240,000

Kinda makes 1 in 45,000 a better bet.

Anyway, “They”? say that a direct hit on an urban area could unleash more destruction than Hurricane Katrina, the 2004 Asian tsunami, and the 1906 San Francisco earthquake combined.

And a hit in the ocean would provide the sickest wave any narly surfer dude has ever ridden.

Boy, you go away for a week and the world falls apart.


  1. I know someone who won the lotto.
    I know someone who nearly died of flesh eating disease last month.
    My husband's great grandfather was killed by lightening.

    Still, while 1 in 45,000 is much more unlikely than likely... we are in a constant state of trusting God to sustain our very existance.

  2. Wonder it will hit earth of not.
    Anyway, what can we do beside NASA?
    just wait...

  3. It's spelled gnarly dude.


    1 in 45000 makes that pretty likely, relatively speaking. At least it's only 460 feet long (give or take) so it's unlikely to cause upheaval with gravitational effects as it passes by.


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